How is the score calculated?

We combine 9 Bitcoin data points in three groups: how far the price is from its trend, its momentum, and market leverage and sentiment. Each of today's data points is compared with its values over the previous 4 years: at the top of those years, close to 100; at the bottom, close to 1. The score is the weighted average of all of them, which you can see in the breakdown. A data point with less than 730 days of history isn't included yet, and its weight is shared among the others.

What does each zone mean?

Only where Bitcoin stands compared with its own recent history: 1 to 20, very low zone; 21 to 40, low zone; 41 to 60, middle zone; 61 to 80, high zone; 81 to 100, very high zone.

Does it tell me when to buy or sell?

No. It tells you where the price stands compared with its last few years, not where it's going. In a long rally the score can stay high for months, and in a long decline, low. Use it as one more data point, never as a signal.

Where does the data come from?

The price and funding come from the exchanges; the Fear & Greed Index from Alternative.me, credited next to it; and the economic context from the Federal Reserve via FRED. We don't use blockchain data: free sources don't allow it on a site like this one.

How often is it updated?

Once a day, with each day's close in UTC. The new score comes out shortly after midnight UTC.

Bitcoin Zone

How high or low Bitcoin is compared with its last 4 years, as a score from 1 to 100. It doesn't tell you what to do: it tells you where it is.

Close of Oct 26, 2026

Compared with its last 4 years. It has been in this zone for 2 days in a row.

Yesterday: 40−1
7 days ago: 45−6
30 days ago: 58−19

Includes Alternative.me's Fear & Greed Index as one of its data points.

The context

To put the score in context. None of this goes into it.

Halving cycleEvery 210,000 blocks, about four years, the reward for mining a block is cut in half. The date of the next one is approximate.: Day 919 of about 1,458Last one, Apr 20, 2024 · next one around April 2028
Fed interest rateThe effective US federal funds rate, and how much it has changed in 6 months.: 3.88 %+0.24 points in 6 months · Oct 23, 2026
Fed balance sheetEverything the Federal Reserve holds on its balance sheet, and how much it has grown or shrunk in 3 months.: 6.75 trillion USD+0.1 % in 3 months · Oct 21, 2026
Money supply (M2)US cash, accounts and deposits (M2), and how much it has grown in a year. It comes out once a month, a few weeks late.: 23.34 trillion USD+5.7 % in 1 year · Aug 1, 2026
Dollar strengthThe dollar against the currencies of the countries the US trades with most, and how much it has changed in 3 months.: 121.3+0.5 % in 3 months · Oct 23, 2026

Source: Federal Reserve, via FRED. This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED terms of use

Where the score comes from

Each data point is compared with its values over the previous 4 years: 1 is the lowest of those years and 100 the highest. The score is their average, weighted.

How far it is from its trend · 50% of the score

33

Price vs. its 200-day averageThe price divided by the average of its last 200 daily closes (the Mayer Multiple). High means the price is well above its average for the past year; low, below it.Weight: 15%
1.10×49 out of 100
Price vs. its 200-week averageThe price divided by the average of its last 200 weekly closes, about four years. It's the longest trend in the score.Weight: 15%
1.19×34 out of 100
Price vs. the power-law curveHow far the price is from a curve that rises over time since Bitcoin's first block (the power law, a published formula). It's not a prediction: it only serves to compare one day with another.Weight: 15%
0.51×12 out of 100
Near or far from its highThe price compared with the highest close it had reached up to that day. Near the high, high; after a long drop, low.Weight: 5%
-35.7 %46 out of 100

Momentum · 20% of the score

40

14-week RSIThe relative strength index with weekly closes: how much the rises weighed against the drops over the last 14 weeks.Weight: 8%
5444 out of 100
14-day RSIThe same index with daily closes: the momentum of the last two weeks.Weight: 6%
4217 out of 100
Position within the weekly Bollinger BandsWhere the price sits between the 20-week bands (the average and two deviations). At the very top, high; at the very bottom, low.Weight: 6%
71 %56

Leverage and sentiment · 30% of the score

50

7-day average fundingWhat longs pay shorts on BTC perpetuals, averaged over the last week. High means a lot of long leverage; negative, short.Weight: 15%
0.0054 %53 out of 100
Fear & GreedThe crypto market Fear & Greed Index published by Alternative.me, from 0 to 100. Here it's one more data point, compared with its own last 4 years.Weight: 15% · Source: Alternative.me
5046 out of 100

The score's history and what the price did next

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FAQ

We combine 9 Bitcoin data points in three groups: how far the price is from its trend, its momentum, and market leverage and sentiment.
Each of today's data points is compared with its values over the previous 4 years: at the top of those years, close to 100; at the bottom, close to 1. The score is the weighted average of all of them, which you can see in the breakdown.
A data point with less than 730 days of history isn't included yet, and its weight is shared among the others.

Bitcoin Zone

How far it is from its trend · 50% of the score

Momentum · 20% of the score

Leverage and sentiment · 30% of the score

FAQ

How is the score calculated?

What does each zone mean?

Does it tell me when to buy or sell?

Where does the data come from?

How often is it updated?

Related tools

How far it is from its trend · 50% of the score

Momentum · 20% of the score

Leverage and sentiment · 30% of the score